What are the current odds for "Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 6.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $129.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 6.5% or No shares at 93.5%. The market has $14.7K in liquidity.

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Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?

Updated Today

Dimona, Israel's nuclear research facility, has been a potential flashpoint in Middle East tensions. Markets currently give Iran a 7% chance of striking the site by March 31, reflecting the low but non-zero risk of escalation amid ongoing regional conflict.

Current Probability

6.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$15.50 return per $1

If No wins

$1.07 return per $1