Updated Ended
Supreme Leader Khamenei's death or succession would reshape Iran's political structure, and markets give a 67% chance Iran names his successor by March 11, 2026. This reflects underlying health concerns and succession planning uncertainty in one of the Middle East's most consequential power transitions.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.49 return per $1
If No wins
$3.03 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
PM·$23.08M volLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
PM·$5.83M volSpurs vs. Clippers
PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
PM·$4.82M volClippers vs. Pelicans
PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
PM·$4.22M volWarriors vs. Celtics
PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M volSuns vs. Timberwolves
PM·$3.38M volCeltics vs. Grizzlies
PM·$3.18M vol