Updated Ended
Iran's succession question carries major geopolitical weight as Supreme Leader Khamenei ages. Markets currently give a 62% chance Iran names a successor by March 10, 2026, reflecting uncertainty about whether the regime will publicly designate an heir or maintain ambiguity.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.63 return per $1
If No wins
$2.60 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
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PM·$4.94M volLakers vs. Heat
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PM·$4.72M volLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
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PM·$3.52M volMagic vs. Hawks
PM·$3.48M volSuns vs. Timberwolves
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PM·$3.18M vol