Updated Today
Will Chris Murphy vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? is currently trading at 10.0% on Polymarket, with $568 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$10.00 return per $1
If No wins
$1.11 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$4.04M volMaple Leafs vs. Senators
PM·$464.0K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$2.66M volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$8.64M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.48M volMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
PM·$154.4K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
PM·$1.02M vol
KalshiWho will be Trump's next United States Secretary of Homeland Security?
Outcome: Markwayne Mullin
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July 2026
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWho will be Trump's next United States Secretary of Homeland Security?
Outcome: Tom Homan
KalshiWill any member of the Cabinet (defined as: the Vice President, Secretary of State, Secretary of the Treasury, Secretary of Defense, Attorney General, Secretary of the Interior, Secretary of Agriculture, Secretary of Commerce, Secretary of Labor, Secretary of Health and Human Services, Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Secretary of Transportation, Secretary of Energy, Secretary of Education, Secretary of Veterans Affairs, Secretary of Homeland Security, Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, Director of the Office of Management and Budget, Director of National Intelligence, Trade Representative, Administrator of the Small Business Administration, White House Chief of Staff) be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?
Outcome: Before 2028
KalshiWho will be Trump's next United States Secretary of Homeland Security?
Outcome: Glenn Youngkin
