What are the current odds for "Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $18.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.5% or No shares at 91.5%. The market has $148.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 6 months (Sep 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Updated Today

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? is currently trading at 8.5% on Polymarket, with $18,353 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

8.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1

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Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$148.9K

24h Volume$18.2K

Total Volume$18.4K

Liquidity$148.9K

Ends6 months

End DateSep 30, 2026

Price Changes

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