What are the current odds for "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.9% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.82M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.9% or No shares at 98.0%. The market has $94.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Apr 1, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,957

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,611,438,867

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$485,630,882

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,740,910,244

Polymarket$2.37BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.21MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.97MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,957

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,611,438,867

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$485,630,882

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,740,910,244

Polymarket$2.37BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.21MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.97MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketcrypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?

Updated Today

Bitcoin's volatility makes $50,000 price targets newsworthy for traders, but markets currently give this dip just a 3% chance through March 2026. The cryptocurrency would need to fall roughly 20% from typical trading ranges—a significant move that would signal broader crypto market weakness or regulatory shock.

Current Probability

1.9%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$51.28 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1