What are the current odds for "Will Artemis II launch by April 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 62.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $101.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Artemis II launch by April 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 62.0% or No shares at 38.0%. The market has $2.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Updated Today

NASA's Artemis II moon mission represents the next crewed step toward lunar return, with markets currently giving a 62% chance of launch by April 30, 2026. The delay from its original 2024 target has made this one of the most-watched spaceflight milestones, as success validates NASA's post-Apollo strategy and timeline.

Current Probability

62.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.61 return per $1

If No wins

$2.63 return per $1