What are the current odds for "Will Artemis II launch by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $161.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Artemis II launch by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.1% or No shares at 99.0%. The market has $8.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Updated Today

NASA's Artemis II lunar mission has slipped repeatedly, and markets assign only a 1% probability it launches by March 31st, 2026. The delay signals ongoing technical or safety concerns that have pushed the crewed Moon mission timeline further into the future.

Current Probability

1.1%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$95.24 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1