What are the current odds for "Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 35.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $64.5K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Q: Where can I trade on "Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 35.0% or No shares at 65.0%. The market has $3.5K in liquidity.

Updated Today

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? is currently trading at 35.0% on Polymarket, with $64,487 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

35.0%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$2.86 return per $1

If No wins

$1.54 return per $1