Updated Today
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? is currently trading at 41.0% on Polymarket, with $24,550 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.44 return per $1
If No wins
$1.69 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volIslanders vs. Senators
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PM·$795.3K volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$8.52M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$3.78M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$2.40M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K volMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
PM·$154.4K volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$470.5K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
PM·$1.02M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.34M vol
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit Iran before Apr 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before Apr 1, 2026
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit China before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: China
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit Iran before Jun 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before Jun 1, 2026
KalshiWill Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System?
Outcome: Stephen Miran
KalshiWill Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: Before 2029
KalshiWill Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027
