What are the current odds for "U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 18.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $0 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 18.0% or No shares at 82.0%. The market has $5.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Updated Today

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? is currently trading at 18.0% on Polymarket. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

18.0%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.56 return per $1

If No wins

$1.22 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Machado Head of Venezuela Dec 2026

Outcome: María Corina Machado

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before May 1, 2026?

Outcome: María Corina Machado

Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026?

Outcome: María Corina Machado

2.0%

$23.7K vol

-0.05% 24h

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María Corina Machado Enter Venezuela by Mar 3

6.6%

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Machado Leader of Venezuela End 2026

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13.5%

$826.2K vol

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US Strike on Venezuela by Dec 31

23.5%

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$5.5K

24h Volume$0

Total Volume$0

Liquidity$5.5K

Ends9 months

End DateDec 31, 2026

Price Changes

1 hour-0.01%

24 hours+0.01%

7 days+0.06%

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