What are the current odds for "US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 18.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Limitless with $4.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?"?

This market is available on Limitless. You can trade Yes shares at 18.5% or No shares at 81.5%. The market has $4.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Updated 53 min ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 18.5% on Limitless, with $4,556 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

18.5%

Trade on Limitless

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.23 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.