What are the current odds for "US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.12M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.3% or No shares at 98.8%. The market has $58.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Updated Today

A U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement by March 31st is considered extremely unlikely, with prediction markets giving it just a 3% chance despite $1M in trading activity. Diplomatic negotiations between the nations remain stalled, making rapid deal closure improbable.

Current Probability

1.3%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$80.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1