What are the current odds for "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 25.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $177.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 25.5% or No shares at 74.5%. The market has $25.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Updated Today

Peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain contentious heading into 2027, with prediction markets giving a deal before year-end just 28% odds. This reflects ongoing diplomatic complexity and the geopolitical stakes involved in resolving Europe's largest military conflict since World War II.

Current Probability

25.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.92 return per $1

If No wins

$1.34 return per $1