What are the current odds for "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 18.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.78M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 18.5% or No shares at 81.5%. The market has $44.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,957

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,611,438,867

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$485,630,882

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,740,910,244

Polymarket$2.37BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.21MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.97MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,957

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,611,438,867

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$485,630,882

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,740,910,244

Polymarket$2.37BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.21MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.97MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarkettech

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Updated Today

OpenSea's hypothetical fully-diluted valuation exceeding $1 billion on its first day post-launch carries 25% odds—a modest probability reflecting skepticism about NFT platform valuations after the sector's 2022 downturn. Past crypto launches show extreme volatility in opening valuations.

Current Probability

18.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.41 return per $1

If No wins

$1.23 return per $1