
Updated Today
OpenAI's path to public markets remains uncertain, with prediction markets giving an IPO before the end of 2026 just a 35% chance. The timing hinges on the company's valuation negotiations, regulatory clarity around AI governance, and Sam Altman's strategic decisions for the AI leader.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.63 return per $1
If No wins
$1.61 return per $1
Price Changes
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 16?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
XRP Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 17?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
OpenAI IPO Cap Above $1T
OpenAI IPO Market Cap 2026
OpenAI IPO by Dec 31 2026
OpenAI Does Not IPO by Dec 2026
OpenAI IPO Market Cap Below $500B
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027