What are the current odds for "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give Nothing a 94.0% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $10.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Nothing Ever Happens: Obama"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Nothing shares at 94.0% or Something shares at 6.0%. The market has $9.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

PolymarketotherMulti-Outcome

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Nothing

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Obama federally charged - Obama arrested - Obama divorce Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. Currently 94.0% on Polymarket, with $10,658 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

94.0%

Trade on Polymarket

NothingSomething

If Nothing wins

$1.06 return per $1

If Something wins

$16.67 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: