
Updated Today
This tongue-in-cheek market captures trader sentiment about whether 2026 will deliver dramatic global events. Priced at 50-50, it reflects genuine uncertainty about whether the year will produce major shocks or continue predictably.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$3.33 return per $1
If No wins
$1.43 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Spurs vs. Clippers
Lakers vs. Heat
Clippers vs. Pelicans
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
Warriors vs. Celtics
Magic vs. Hawks
Suns vs. Timberwolves
Nothing Ever Happens Mar 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto