What are the current odds for "New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 3.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $63.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 3.0% or No shares at 97.0%. The market has $19.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Nov 3, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Updated 3 weeks ago

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. Currently 3.0% on Polymarket, with $63,165 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

3.0%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$33.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.

The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.