What are the current odds for "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 10.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $421.6K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 10.5% or No shares at 89.5%. The market has $38.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jul 1, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

MicroStrategy has positioned itself as a major Bitcoin holder under CEO Michael Saylor's accumulation strategy. A 13% probability of the company selling any Bitcoin by end-2026 suggests traders expect continued HODLing, though corporate portfolio shifts could always shift this calculus.

Current Probability

10.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$9.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.12 return per $1