What are the current odds for "Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 54.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $161.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 54.0% or No shares at 46.0%. The market has $15.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Updated Today

Italy's proposed judicial reform faces a referendum vote by March 31, 2026, with markets giving it just a 38% passage rate. The low probability suggests Italian voters may reject measures perceived as altering judicial independence or case processing, reflecting broader skepticism toward the government's reform agenda.

Current Probability

54.0%+0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.85 return per $1

If No wins

$2.17 return per $1