Eric BarlowWinnerWhat happened
Resolved 2026-08-18
Eric Barlow won Wyoming's Republican gubernatorial primary on August 18, decisively defeating Trump-endorsed Megan Degenfelder and Wyoming GOP-endorsed Brent Bien. The state senator and former House speaker secured roughly 44% of the vote with just 21% counted, confirming markets' 81% pricing and proceeding as the heavy favorite to win the general election in reliably Republican Wyoming.
Before Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Eric Barlow: 100%, Chuck Gray: 2%, Tara Nethercott: 1%, Mark Gordon: 1%, Harriet Hageman: 1%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
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Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Updated 1 month ago
Winner: Eric Barlowon Aug 19, 2026
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