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If Warren Buffett is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world? are: Elon Musk: 91%, Larry Page: 67%, Sergey Brin: 45%, Jeff Bezos: 36%, Mark Zuckerberg: 32%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Elon Musk be one of the three wealthiest people in the world? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.