Polymarket$3.18BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$401.77MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$25.30MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If Tim Leissner has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Tina Peterson Jan 21, 2029
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029? are: Tina Peters: 99%, Donald Trump: 63%, Donald Trump Jr.: 61%, Torence Hatch: 56%, Keonne Rodriguez: 48%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Alex Mashinsky receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
