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If the number of teams achieving an upset (based on seeding) in the Round of 64 of the men's college basketball tournament is at least 9, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: 3+ upsetson Mar 28, 2026
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will there be at least 10 upsets in the Round of 64? are: 3+ upsets: 97%, 4+ upsets: 93%, 5+ upsets: 85%, 6+ upsets: 68%, 7+ upsets: 51%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will there be at least 10 upsets in the Round of 64? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.