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If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? are: Before 2035: 29%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.