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If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027? are: Before 2027: 20%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran before Jan 1, 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.