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If the U.S. government has taken operational control of any private AI company or project before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? are: Before 2030: 37%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.