Polymarket$3.29BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
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Will the US fall below 7.80 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028
Updated Today
If the United States falls below 7.75 in any year between 2025 and 2028 on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: below 7.75on May 17, 2029
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the US fall below 7.80 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028 are: below 7.75: 96%, below 7.80: 96%, below 7.70: 83%, below 7.60: 77%, below 7.50: 66%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the US fall below 7.80 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028 is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
