Polymarket$3.04BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
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Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting?
Updated Today
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 5.25% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting? are: Above 3.00%: 73%, Above 3.25%: 62%, Above 4.75%: 59%, Above 2.75%: 56%, Above 5.25%: 53%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Dec 9, 2026 meeting? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
