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If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $2.80 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the price of natural gas get below $1.60 per million BTU before January 1, 2027? are: $2.79 or below: 84%, $2.59 or below: 78%, $2.39 or below: 70%, $2.19 or below: 61%, $1.99 or below: 51%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the price of natural gas get below $1.60 per million BTU before January 1, 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.