Will the margin of victory for Jasmine Crockett in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?
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If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary falls between 6% and 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Talarico, 6-9%on Mar 3, 2027
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the margin of victory for Jasmine Crockett in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%? are: Talarico, 6-9%: 97%, Talarico, 3-6%: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the margin of victory for Jasmine Crockett in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.