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If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? are: Cuts: 77%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.