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If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Democratic Party hold 45 seats in the 120th Congress? are: Above 52: 25%, 51: 20%, 50: 17%, 49: 16%, 52: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Democratic Party hold 45 seats in the 120th Congress? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.