Democrats Hold Below 45 Senate Seats

As of July 20, 2026, the Kalshi odds for How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? are: Above 52: 18%, 50: 17%, 51: 16%, 49: 15%, 48: 12%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.