Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation
Updated 2h ago
If the Chicago Pro Football Team stay and do not relocate/announce a relocation by the first game of the 2028 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 1, 2026
Kalshi prices Indiana at 46% after the Bears announced their "sole focus" on Hammond, Indiana in June, vetting two potential sites there as of late August, after Illinois failed to pass matching incentive legislation in its spring session. A new Illinois location leads at 55%, reflecting lingering leverage from the team's Arlington Heights property ownership, ongoing state negotiations, and the reality that the deal is far from finalized. The heavy lifting—including final site selection, NFL approval, and statutory requirements—remains unresolved, keeping the outcome competitive even though Indiana has secured property tax certainty while Illinois has not.
As of September 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation are: A new location in Illinois: 57%, Indiana: 41%, Do not relocate or announce a relocation: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Chicago Pro Football Team: Relocation is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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