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If the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit reverses or vacates in full the approximately $16.1 billion judgment against Argentina in the Petersen Energia / Eton Park YPF litigation before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the appeals court reverse the YPF judgment against Argentina? are: Before 2028: 41%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the appeals court reverse the YPF judgment against Argentina? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.