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If Steve Scalise is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House? are: Hakeem Jeffries: 75%, Steve Scalise: 11%, Jim Jordan: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.