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If Samuel Alito retires as Supreme Court Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before April? are: Before Jan 1, 2027: 58%, Before Sep 1, 2026: 42%, Before Jul 1, 2026: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Samuel Alito retires the Supreme Court in before April? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.