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If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of California for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Democratics win the Senate race in California? are: Democratic party: 90%, Republican party: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Democratics win the Senate race in California? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.