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If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will President Trump resign before his term is up? are: Before his term ends: 17%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will President Trump resign before his term is up? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.