Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
Updated 5h ago
If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law [outcome], then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 1, 2026
The House of Representatives passed the Sunshine Protection Act of 2025 in mid-July 2026, establishing a 44% market probability the bill becomes law before January 20, 2029, compared to 19% odds by January 1, 2028. The Senate is on recess until September 14, and its future in the upper chamber is uncertain, with some Republican members expressing doubts about the proposal, though the Trump administration has positioned itself in favor of the Sunshine Protection Act. The Senate previously voted in favor by unanimous consent in 2022, but that effort stalled in the House, making passage far from guaranteed despite bipartisan support historically.
As of October 14, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent? are: Before Jan 20, 2029: 37%, Before Jan 1, 2028: 20%, Before Jan 1, 2027: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent? is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
