Polymarket$3.30BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$381.46MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$27.64MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If Miguel Díaz-Canel leaves office before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-04-01T14:00:00.000Z? are: Before September 1, 2026: 71%, Before June 1, 2026: 61%, Before May 1, 2026: 50%, Before April 1, 2026: 19%, Before March 1, 2026: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave office before 2026-04-01T14:00:00.000Z? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
