Will Della Au Belatti be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district?
Updated Today
If Maxwell Frazier wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Hawaii first congressional district House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Della Au Belatti be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district? are: Ed Case: 64%, Jarrett Keohokalole: 36%, Maxwell Frazier: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Della Au Belatti be the Democratic nominee for Hawaii's first congressional district? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.