Updated Today
If Jay Feely wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 AZ-1 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-1? are: Jay Feely: 73%, Gina Swoboda: 8%, Mark Brnovich: 5%, Joseph Chaplik: 4%, Todd Graham: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-1? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.