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If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? are: Before 2050: 16%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.