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If Emil Bove is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Andrew Oldham become the next Justice on the Supreme Court? are: Andrew Oldham: 25%, Amul Thapar: 17%, Aileen Cannon: 14%, James Ho: 11%, Emil Bove: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Andrew Oldham become the next Justice on the Supreme Court? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.