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If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will anyone in Congress change parties? are: Yes: 13%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will anyone in Congress change parties? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.