Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Bernadette Wilson
Treg TaylorAlaska Governor winner? (Person)
Updated 4h ago
If [outcome] is sworn in as the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 5, 2026
Kalshi prices Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 63% in the general election race, a two-tier lead over Republican Bernadette Wilson at 33%. The August primary saw Democrats overperform in the wide-open race (term-limited incumbent), with Kreiss-Tomkins and Wilson anchoring two ideological poles; ranked-choice voting in November will likely amplify the second-choice dynamics between the four finalists. Treg Taylor is listed at 6% on Kalshi despite not advancing from the primary (actual fourth finalist was Dave Bronson), suggesting possible stale pricing.
As of September 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Alaska Governor winner? (Person) are: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 63%, Bernadette Wilson: 30%, Treg Taylor: 5%, Dave Bronson: 4%, Bill Walker: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Alaska Governor winner? (Person) is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
4pp3pp
