Polymarket$3.30BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$381.46MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$27.64MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? are: United States: 70%, China: 35%, India: 4%, European Space Agency: 4%, Russia: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
