Cleveland
Miami
Golden State
Philadelphia
MinnesotaLeBron James' Next Team
Updated 2m ago
If LeBron James's next team is Washington before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Jul 12, 2026
LeBron will play elsewhere for his 24th season, not with the Lakers, and Kalshi prices Cleveland at 42% to land him—a 17-point edge over Miami at 25%. ESPN's Brian Windhorst says "the vibes are pointing towards Cleveland", citing James' recent time in Akron and memory lane with 2016 Cavs teammates, though the Cavs' strong non-LeBron season and signing Donovan Mitchell means other teams are not counting themselves out. Golden State (16%) and Philadelphia (9%) remain in the mix as secondary options.
As of July 13, 2026, the Kalshi odds for LeBron James' Next Team are: Cleveland: 48%, Miami: 22%, Golden State: 20%, Philadelphia: 8%, Minnesota: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
LeBron James' Next Team is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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